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토요일, 9월 28, 2024

On Friday, the NZD/USD pair continued its ascent from Thursday, adding 0.20%, reaching 0.6354 and continuing the bullish trend.

The NZD/USD climbed to fresh highs since December.The RSI stands deep in positive area and the MACD shows rising green bars supporting an overall bullish outlook.If the bulls fail to conquer 0.6400, it might trigger a downward correction.On Friday, the NZD/USD pair continued its ascent from Thursday, adding 0.20%, reaching 0.6354 and continuing the bullish trend. The technical indicators suggest that the buying pressure is likely to continue. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 66, which is near the overbought area. This suggests that buying pressure is strong but that the movements might have become over-extended. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also bullish, with the histogram rising and green. NZD/USD daily chartThe overall outlook for the NZD/USD is bullish. The pair is trading above its key moving averages, and the technical indicators are regaining strength. Buyers seem to have hit a solid resistance at 0.6350, but buyers might be preparing to retest it. A break above could pave the way for more upside and the pair could test the 0.6400 level. On the other hand, a rejection at this level might trigger selling pressure and the bears might target the 0.6300 area and even more push the pair down to the 0.6250-0.6200. That being said, if the pair holds the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.6220, the bullish outlook will remain intact.  

Silver prices dropped on Friday, finishing the session down by more than 1% after hitting a yearly record high of $32.71 on September 26.

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Buyers' failure to cling to gains above $32.00 exacerbated the drop toward $31.60, but they held to weekly profits of over 1.50%. XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook Silver is upward biased amid dipping to a four-day low of $31.37, but a daily close below the July 13 peak of $31.75 opens the scope to trade within the $31.00-$31.70 range. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains bullish, but in the short term, sellers could push prices toward the September 23 low of $30.36. On further weakness, the next stop would be the 50-day moving average (DMA) at $29.64. Conversely, if XAG/USD climbs back above $32.00, this could pave the way to test the YTD high of $32.71 before challenging $33.00 ahead of the October 1, 2012, peak at $35340. XAG/USD Price Action – Daily ChartSilver FAQs Why do people invest in Silver? Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets. Which factors influence Silver prices? Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices. How does industrial demand affect Silver prices? Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices. How do Silver prices react to Gold’s moves? Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.  

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) fell back against all of its major currency peers on Friday, shedding nearly one-third of one percent against the Greenback.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}The Canadian Dollar fell across the board on Friday.Canada saw a higher-then-expected GDP print from July.US PCE inflation data dominated Friday’s headlines.The Canadian Dollar (CAD) fell back against all of its major currency peers on Friday, shedding nearly one-third of one percent against the Greenback. Markets shrugged off an upbeat print in Canadian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figures, and cooling US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) inflation is keeping market hopes for a follow-up rate cut on the high end. Canada saw GDP rise more than expected in July, but a lack of other meaningful data saw CAD flows brush off the long-dated growth figure in favour of watching the US PCE inflation print. Headline PCE inflation cooled even faster than expected in August, keeping risk appetite on-balance. Daily digest market movers Canadian MoM GDP bounced to 0.2% MoM in July, over and above the expected 0.1% and grinding up from the previous month’s 0.0%. Despite the upbeat Canadian GDP growth figure, CAD flows remained firmly lower on Friday. Headline US PCE inflation cooled faster than expected in August, easing to 2.2% YoY versus the forecast 2.3% and well back from the previous print of 2.5%. Despite the top being taken off the top of headline PCE inflation, core PCE inflation ticked higher to 2.7% YoY compared to the previous 2.6%. Rate market bets of another double rate cut for 50 bps have risen to 55% according to the CME’s FedWatch Tool. Canadian Dollar price forecast The Canadian Dollar (CAD0 is caught in the middle of lazy congestion against the Greenback, with the USD/CAD pair trading well within recent highs and lows. The pair is caught in sideways churn below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). USD/CAD has recovered from near-term lows priced in just south of the 1.3450 level, but US Dollar bulls are struggling to put stakes in and make a meaningful bullish drive despite clearing the 1.3500 handle on Friday. USD/CAD daily chartCanadian Dollar FAQs What key factors drive the Canadian Dollar? The key factors driving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) are the level of interest rates set by the Bank of Canada (BoC), the price of Oil, Canada’s largest export, the health of its economy, inflation and the Trade Balance, which is the difference between the value of Canada’s exports versus its imports. Other factors include market sentiment – whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) – with risk-on being CAD-positive. As its largest trading partner, the health of the US economy is also a key factor influencing the Canadian Dollar. How do the decisions of the Bank of Canada impact the Canadian Dollar? The Bank of Canada (BoC) has a significant influence on the Canadian Dollar by setting the level of interest rates that banks can lend to one another. This influences the level of interest rates for everyone. The main goal of the BoC is to maintain inflation at 1-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively higher interest rates tend to be positive for the CAD. The Bank of Canada can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former CAD-negative and the latter CAD-positive. How does the price of Oil impact the Canadian Dollar? The price of Oil is a key factor impacting the value of the Canadian Dollar. Petroleum is Canada’s biggest export, so Oil price tends to have an immediate impact on the CAD value. Generally, if Oil price rises CAD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Oil falls. Higher Oil prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance, which is also supportive of the CAD. How does inflation data impact the value of the Canadian Dollar? While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for a currency since it lowers the value of money, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Higher inflation tends to lead central banks to put up interest rates which attracts more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in Canada’s case is the Canadian Dollar. How does economic data influence the value of the Canadian Dollar? Macroeconomic data releases gauge the health of the economy and can have an impact on the Canadian Dollar. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the CAD. A strong economy is good for the Canadian Dollar. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the Bank of Canada to put up interest rates, leading to a stronger currency. If economic data is weak, however, the CAD is likely to fall.  
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